J. Sidney McCain III is going to win

[bigscary]

And there's little to nothing anyone reading this can do about it. I expect the eventual electoral map to look identical (at most two states different, and if that a swap that gains (D) at most an electoral vote or two) to 2004.

Comments

[wellgull.livejournal.com]

Based on what exactly? I mean, aside from the right's notorious skill at rigging elections.

[bigscary.livejournal.com]

McCain's was previously unable to convince the base he was sufficiently their man and was only barely able to dissociate himself from Bush. In the past weeks, he has almost entirely escaped Bush, and has picked up everyone he needs in the religious core.

In other words, he has the entire 04 bloc + people who wouldn't vote for Bush at this stage but still consider themselves republicans + closet racists dems (a constituency I think everyone is undercounting).

[wellgull.livejournal.com]

Hrm. I tend to take most polls with a grain of salt before it's the actual one... we'll try again in two weeks, I'd guess.

(Of course, the actual one, I don't necessarily trust to be that accurate either...)