Free Fall

[bigscary]

This is more than just a convention bounce.

Let's start talking about 2012, and who Palin's VP pick will be. My pick, out of the gate, is Jindal.

Comments

[trinityvixen.livejournal.com]

Jesus H, please don't say this to me now. I cannot survive until election day thinking that there's a better chance the GOP takes the White House than not, let alone that you think both McCain's election and his death are certainties.

Please tell me you're being fatalistic.

[viridian.livejournal.com]

I wish you would stop that. It's really not cool for those of us who are desperately hoping that their plans for the coming year are not going to have to involve moving to Canada.

[avram]

Man, you're such a typical liberal Democrat. Polls look bad for a few days, and you're tearing your hair out.

[kent-allard-jr.livejournal.com]

Believe me, I'm worried, and I like to think I have a fairly good capacity to face inconvenient facts.

Still, McCain's lead is modest, we haven't seen the debates, and we have almost two months to go. So don't write things off yet.

[jayeye.livejournal.com]

Look, if Democrats go on the defensive just because some watery tart got nominated running mate, and are running around scared, then we deserve to lose the election.

[slackwench.livejournal.com]

Metapoll suggests otherwise. Where do you keep getting these bad numbers?

[barking-iguana.livejournal.com]

Get a grip. Seriously.

[ebartley.livejournal.com]

As one of the few people in the parts of livejournal I hang out in who hopes this is true, I'm *really* not sure how much to believe polls at the moment. Partly I'm skeptical of the importance of polls this far out from election day; mostly I'm unconvinced pollsters have good samples (e.g. I'm suspicious of the big shifts in party identification.)

[xannoside.livejournal.com]

Dude, when the "gap" is smaller than any of the regular margins of error, it really doesn't mean squat.

Seriously, we always knew it was going to be a close race once the primaries were over.

As long as the Obama campaign doesn't throw it, I'm not going to worry about polls.

Besides, didn't the polls in 2004 have John Kerry decisively winning?

Have some schedenfreude

[chuckro.livejournal.com]

Regarding this morning's news about Merrill, Lehman and AIG:

"Samuel Hayes, finance professor emeritus at Harvard Business School, said the Bush administration may get a lot of blame for the situation, which could benefit Obama."

That, and it means that the i-bankers who typically fling money at the Republicans aren't in any shape to do so.