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J. Sidney McCain III is going to win
And there's little to nothing anyone reading this can do about it. I expect the eventual electoral map to look identical (at most two states different, and if that a swap that gains (D) at most an electoral vote or two) to 2004.
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I agree that Michigan is not a lock. Nor, for that matter, is New Hampshire. The 2008 map looks much more like 2000 than it does 2004.